Us Recession Risk 2025. Recession in the first half of 2025 and a whopping 175 basis points of rate cuts, with lower borrowing costs driving the s&p 500. Something is going wrong in the mighty u.s.

The personal saving rate, the share of income that americans are squirreling away, was 3.8% in january, well below the recent peak of 5.3% last may and the. The risk of a us recession by the first quarter of 2025 has hit 72% as the fed hikes rates to curb inflation.